REDUCTION OF ECONOMIC RISK BY RE-PLANNING IN REAL-TIME

Abstract. Risks in procurement of material resources and production at Ore Mining and Processing Enterprises (OMPE) are considered. It is established that economic risks can be reduced by re-planning in real-time. Methodological approaches to determining the economic effect of automated information systems (AIS) from re-planning of procurement taking into account probability of non-delivery are proposed. Set losses from risks of accidents and unplanned outages of machinery and equipment, risks of not identifying the performance of machines and equipment, risks of not identifying quality raw material, risks of fluctuations in the volume of production at previous stages, risks of unplanned urgent orders, etc. Management solutions to reduce these risks are developed. It is proved that in terms of capacity constraints any delay re-planning and determining backup machines and equipment leads to losses from the reduction in production volumes in subsequent stages