Erosion risk for climatic and land use scenarios in Europe Pan European Erosion Risk Assessment (PESERA)

its severity, and the areas affected, are poorly quantified. PESEREA simulates the effects of climate change on soil erosion risk in contrasting areas of Europe. The PESERA concept differs fundamentally from empirical models such as the USLE and its derivations; it is runoff-based and estimates potential monthly erosion at a 1-kilometre resolution. Erosion and climate change The PESERA model was run for a 2071-2080 for climatic scenario in a northern and a southern window. Two land uses were considered: current and all-arable-under-maize. A Hadley Centre climate change scenario (SRES-A2b) was used with the original 50 km resolution of the monthly climatic parameter grids interpolated to a 1 km grid. Soil erodability was assessed from th