Analysis and Evaluation of Net Present Value by means of Monte Carlo Simulation

In order to analyze of feasibility of project, for the construction remodeling and architectural prevention of disasters and so on, it is usually used probabilistic method for supplementation of deterministic assessment, and considered the uncertainty in the future. There is lots of necessity relationship with cost management, and propriety of project. In this study, it was analyzed, and eval-uated with Monte Carlo simulation that the assessment of application the Net Present Value (NPV) which includes the main cause of the economic growth rate and inflation for what it was made the probability distribution model optimization. Assessment of the NPV institute the concept of growth rate from probability distribution for reflection of the uncertainty in the future as well as some initial conditions for the feasibility of project the Monte Carlo simulation were carried out. According to the simulation with 3 per-centages of the growth rate, the result values of low level and high level for 99 percentages of the confidence level were 3753.8