Correlation decay in random decision networks

We consider a decision network on an undirected graph in which each node corresponds to a decision variable, and each node and edge of the graph is associated with a reward function whose value depends only on the variables of the corresponding nodes. The goal is to construct a decision vector which maximizes the total reward. This decision problem encompasses a variety of models, including maximum-likelihood inference in graphical models (Markov Random Fields), combinatorial optimization on graphs, economic team theory and statistical physics. The network is endowed with a probabilistic structure in which rewards are sampled from a distribution. Our aim is to identify sufficient conditions on the network structure and rewards distributions to guarantee average-case polynomiality of the underlying optimization problem. Additionally, we wish to characterize the efficiency of a decentralized solution generated on the basis of local information. We construct a new decentralized algorithm called Cavity Expansion and establish its theo-retical performance for a variety of graph models and reward function distributions. Specifically, for certain classes of models we prove that our algorithm is able to find a near-optimal solutio