2009: Managing climate variability in agricultural analysis

This chapter offers some analytical insights for a comprehensive theoretical understanding of how to develop reliable ENSO-based crop yield forecasts and how to incorporate this information into an ENSO-sensitive farm-plan. A discussion on the usefulness of climate information for policy analysis is also presented. An improved basic understanding on the impact of seasonal climate variability (i.e., ENSO) on agriculture involves a more in-depth discussion of the value of the information as well as a broader knowledge of actual (or created) distinctions between adaptation, mitigation and response to climate risks. This chapter intends to inform the scientific community of the state-of-art on studies related to climate risk in agriculture and to help identify priorities for ongoing and future research