Reduction in carbon uptake during turn of the century drought in western North America

This is the publisher’s final pdf. The published article is copyrighted by Nature Publishing Group and can be found at: http://www.nature.com/ngeo/index.html. To the best of our knowledge, one or more authors of this paper were federal employees when contributing to this work.Fossil fuel emissions aside, temperate North America is a net sink of carbon dioxide at present¹⁻³. Year-to-year variations in this carbon sink are linked to variations in hydroclimate that affect net ecosystem productivity³,⁴. The severity and incidence of climatic extremes, including drought, have increased as a result of climate warming⁵⁻⁸. Here, we examine the effect of the turn of the century drought in western North America on carbon uptake in the region, using reanalysis data, remote sensing observations and data from global monitoring networks. We show that the area-integrated strength of the western North American carbon sink declined by 30–298 Tg C yr⁻¹ during the 2000–2004 drought. We further document a pronounced drying of the terrestrial biosphere during this period, together with a reduction in river discharge and a loss of cropland productivity. We compare our findings with previous palaeoclimate reconstructions⁷ and show that the last drought of this magnitude occurred more than 800 years ago. Based on projected changes in precipitation and drought severity, we estimate that the present mid-latitude carbon sink of 177–623 Tg C yr⁻¹ in western North America could disappear by the end of the century