- A scenario analysis of Japanese energy systems in the 21st century-

We have analyzed scenarios of Japanese energy systems in the 21st century with special focus on electrification and climate change mitigation. We have described the causality pathway as to how the major drivers will impact the structure of energy systems and found the following: (1) Steady electrification in the residential and the commercial sector is expected to be driven by technological progress and social change in the absence of climate change policy; and (2) With strong greenhouse gas emission constraints, the combination of accelerated electrification across all sectors and decarbonization of power generation is most likely to evolve in the future. The scenario analysis demonstrates the unique and important contribution of the Japanese innovation cluster for global efforts to mitigate climate change through the development of energy technologies. Disclaimer The views expressed in this paper are solely those of the author(s), and do not necessarily reflect the views of CRIEPI or other organizations