Projecting large-scale area changes in land use and land cover for terrestrial carbon analyses. Environ

ABSTRACT i One of the largest changes in US forest type areas over the last haif-century has involved pine types in the South. The area of planted pine has increased more than 10-foid since 1950, mostly on private lands. Private landowners have responded to market incentives and government prc-grams, including subsidized afforestation on margrnal agricul-tural iand. Timber harvest is a crucral drsrurbance affecting planted pine area, as other forest types are converted to planted pine after harvest. Conversely, however, many har-vestea p " ~- piar~atrons revert to cther forest +]pes, rnalrly abe tc passwe ragsreraiion oenaticr on nor;!nrci;istrai orriare tim-beriafids 'He vodel 'arc2 Jse and land cover ckanges as a basis for prqecting fiitiire cPai.ges in planremme area,:G ard poiicy anal\rsrs coccerneci \r~lth rnitigatrcn activities for glcba~ climate cha~ge. Project~cns are prepared tn two stages. Pro