This paper examines stationary and nonstationary time series by formally testing for the presence of unit roots and seasonal unit roots prior to estimation, model selection and forecasting. Various Box-Jenkins Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models are estimated over the period 1975(1)-1989(4) for tourist arrivals to Australia from Hong Kong, Malaysia and Singapore. The mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) are used as measures of forecast accuracy. As the best fitting ARIMA model is found to have the lowest RMSE, it is used to obtain post-sample forecasts. Tourist arrivals data for 1990(1) to 1996(4) are compared with the forecast performance of the ARIMA model for each origin market. The...
Predictions of future events must be incorporated into the decision-making process. For tourism dema...
This paper applies Gaussian estimation methods to continuous time models for modelling overseas visi...
Tourism comprises of the activities of persons traveling to and staying in places outside their usua...
Tourists from Indonesia, China and Malaysia rank top three among Singapore’s overall inbound tourist...
Rapid economic growth in South-East and East Asia has seen a surge in tourist arrivals from this reg...
This paper evaluates the performances of prediction intervals generated from alternative time series...
This paper evaluates the performances of prediction intervals generated from alternative time series...
Forecasting plays a vital role in tourism planning and tourism promotion strategies requiring an est...
Within the multiplicative seasonal ARIMA modeling context, there are two forecasting models, ARIMA14...
Data processing and analysis of foreign tourist arrivals in Bandung through Husein Sastra Bandung Ai...
Within the multiplicative seasonal ARIMA modeling context, there are two forecasting models, RIMA14 ...
Within the multiplicative seasonal ARIMA modeling context, there are two forecasting models, RIMA14 ...
Most of Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models that used for forecasting ...
This study investigates the performances of forecasting tourist arrival between Singular Spectrum An...
This study attempts to forecast tourist inflow in South East Asia and choses Singapore as a case. Fo...
Predictions of future events must be incorporated into the decision-making process. For tourism dema...
This paper applies Gaussian estimation methods to continuous time models for modelling overseas visi...
Tourism comprises of the activities of persons traveling to and staying in places outside their usua...
Tourists from Indonesia, China and Malaysia rank top three among Singapore’s overall inbound tourist...
Rapid economic growth in South-East and East Asia has seen a surge in tourist arrivals from this reg...
This paper evaluates the performances of prediction intervals generated from alternative time series...
This paper evaluates the performances of prediction intervals generated from alternative time series...
Forecasting plays a vital role in tourism planning and tourism promotion strategies requiring an est...
Within the multiplicative seasonal ARIMA modeling context, there are two forecasting models, ARIMA14...
Data processing and analysis of foreign tourist arrivals in Bandung through Husein Sastra Bandung Ai...
Within the multiplicative seasonal ARIMA modeling context, there are two forecasting models, RIMA14 ...
Within the multiplicative seasonal ARIMA modeling context, there are two forecasting models, RIMA14 ...
Most of Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) models that used for forecasting ...
This study investigates the performances of forecasting tourist arrival between Singular Spectrum An...
This study attempts to forecast tourist inflow in South East Asia and choses Singapore as a case. Fo...
Predictions of future events must be incorporated into the decision-making process. For tourism dema...
This paper applies Gaussian estimation methods to continuous time models for modelling overseas visi...
Tourism comprises of the activities of persons traveling to and staying in places outside their usua...