Theory and Methodology Firms ’ R&D decisions under incomplete information

The paper considers a patent race in which firms do not know their relative positions. In this setting, firms that start in the same position proceed at the highest possible speed; and if one firm has an initial advantage it preempts the rival, but at the cost of dissipating a significant part of its monopoly rent. So the paper shows that incomplete information in a patent race leads to rent dissipation. The latter is higher, the higher the value of the prize and the lower the cost of R&D. Thus, for innovations that provide relatively high profits the time to discovery is shortened, but the social losses are likely to be high, due to duplication of eort. Ó 2001 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved