This paper presents a GARCH type volatility model that allows for time-varying uncondi-tional volatility that is a function of macroeconomic variables. It is an extension of the SPLINE GARCH model proposed by Engle and Rangel (2005). The advantage of the model proposed in this paper is that the macroeconomic information available is used in the parameter estimation process and that forecasts of macroeconomic variables have an obvious role when forecasting volatility. Based on an application of this model to S&P500 share index returns, it is demonstrated that forecasts of macroeconomic variables can be easily incorporated into volatility forecasts for share index returns. It transpires that the model proposed here can lead to improved vo...
This paper aims to examine the role of macroeconomic variables in forecasting the return volatility ...
Business cycle volatility has been extensively studied by means of the well-known ARCH and GARCH pro...
This paper examines the e ect of macroeconomic variable volatility on implied and realized asset pri...
This paper presents a GARCH type volatility model with a time-varying unconditional volatility which...
Twenty-five years of volatility research has left the macroeconomic environment playing a minor role...
This paper proposes modeling equity volatilities as a combination of macroeconomic effects and time ...
ABSTRACT Twenty-five years of volatility research has left the macroeconomic environment playing a m...
Forecasting equity volatility was thoroughly investigated during the past three decades. The majorit...
We introduce a new model to measure unconditional volatility, the Spline-GARCH. The model is applied...
We extend the GARCH–MIDAS model to take into account possible different impacts from positive and ne...
Twenty-five years of volatility research has left the macroeconomic environment playing a minor role...
Forecasting volatility with precision in financial market is very important. This paper examines the...
National audienceThis paper uses the logistic smooth transition GARCH model to study the time-varyin...
Abstract This paper examines the effect of macroeconomic variable volatility on implied and realized...
Over the past decades, the worldwide financial markets have been continually evolving. Along with th...
This paper aims to examine the role of macroeconomic variables in forecasting the return volatility ...
Business cycle volatility has been extensively studied by means of the well-known ARCH and GARCH pro...
This paper examines the e ect of macroeconomic variable volatility on implied and realized asset pri...
This paper presents a GARCH type volatility model with a time-varying unconditional volatility which...
Twenty-five years of volatility research has left the macroeconomic environment playing a minor role...
This paper proposes modeling equity volatilities as a combination of macroeconomic effects and time ...
ABSTRACT Twenty-five years of volatility research has left the macroeconomic environment playing a m...
Forecasting equity volatility was thoroughly investigated during the past three decades. The majorit...
We introduce a new model to measure unconditional volatility, the Spline-GARCH. The model is applied...
We extend the GARCH–MIDAS model to take into account possible different impacts from positive and ne...
Twenty-five years of volatility research has left the macroeconomic environment playing a minor role...
Forecasting volatility with precision in financial market is very important. This paper examines the...
National audienceThis paper uses the logistic smooth transition GARCH model to study the time-varyin...
Abstract This paper examines the effect of macroeconomic variable volatility on implied and realized...
Over the past decades, the worldwide financial markets have been continually evolving. Along with th...
This paper aims to examine the role of macroeconomic variables in forecasting the return volatility ...
Business cycle volatility has been extensively studied by means of the well-known ARCH and GARCH pro...
This paper examines the e ect of macroeconomic variable volatility on implied and realized asset pri...